Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn to assess risk and potential gains.

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

The probability density function of a uniform random variable looks like a horizontal line segment over the support. This indicates that for any interval of a given length within the support, the ...

Recent research has explored using diffusion models for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, leveraging their ability to distinguish OOD samples by measuring reconstruction errors. Existing methods ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

On Tuesday, we changed market status to a Confirmed Uptrend as the Nifty50 closed above its previous rally high of 17,640.

Around a fifth of solar panels examined in a new study fail much faster than expected and some may last for only half their ...

Mainstream expectations, those from Wall Street, economists, and corporate strategists, have congealed around a bullish economic outlook for 2026. Most forecasts project stronger economic growth, with ...

As President of The Hedley Company, a firm dedicated to energy communications and research, I have closely monitored the U.S.