New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

The joint probability of two or more variables being “extreme” is relevant in Flood and Coastal Risk Management (FCRM) in various contexts, including: Assessing the likelihood of extreme peak flow ...

The Northeast Probability Seminar is an annual event jointly organized on a rotating basis by the probability groups at the CUNY Graduate Center, Columbia University, and New York University. It ...

This repository accompanies the paper entitled A non-monotonic code for event probability in the human brain. by Cedric Foucault (1,2,#,§), Tiffany Bounmy (1,#), Sébastien Demortain (1), Bertrand ...

Type 1 diabetes is associated with less myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, stroke, and limb ischemia. Andrew M. Goldsweig, M.D., from Baystate Medical Center in Springfield, ...

The hazard produced by natural phenomena on infrastructure and urban populations has been widely studied in the last 50 years. Researchers have recognised that the real danger posed by these phenomena ...