Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, ...

DISCOMs record a decisive turnaround, with reduced AT&C losses, a sharply narrowed ACS-ARR gap and improved cost recovery ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

Prior elicitation refers to the process of transforming the knowledge of a particular domain into well-defined probability distributions. Specifying useful priors is a central aspect of Bayesian ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

Learn how the different types of poker games differ across formats, rules, and risk profiles, with data-driven insights into popular and niche poker variants shaping play.

Abstract: The probability and possibility theories are two particular cases of the more general theory of evidence, and probability distribution and possibility distribution (PD) are two different, ...

Some moments in history make you wonder whether the universe is just playing tricks on us. There are events so bizarre, so ...

Let's delve into what constitutes a valid probability distribution and how we can determine if a given distribution meets the necessary criteria. A probability distribution, in essence, describes the ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...